Oscars: THR Has ‘September 5’ Winning Best Picture

Here’s the international trailer.

A few days ago, “September 5” landed at Paramount Pictures in a $10M deal. The film will hit theaters on Nov. 27 before expanding in December with a “major awards campaign behind it”.

Peter Sarsgaard, John Magaro and Leonie Benesch star in “September 5,” the third feature from director Tim Fehlbaum (“The Colony” and “Hell”), a dramatic thriller about ABC Sports’ coverage of the 1972 Munich Olympics terrorist attack in which Palestinian militants took hostage Israeli athletes. The story is told from the perspective of the broadcasters.

THR’s Scott Feinberg has been hyping up “September 5” as the real deal for months now. The film didn’t screen at TIFF and was overshadowed by more buzzy titles at Venice, but had a great showing at Telluride. It won’t be going to either NYFF or London.

Regardless, Feinberg has now updated his Oscar predictions and has “September 5” as the current frontrunner to win Best Picture. At the moment, only Feinberg and KTLA’s Scott Mantz are really pushing this film, and since they’ve actually seen it, I’ll give them the benefit of the doubt here. Maybe it’s the real deal.

Feinberg also has Peter Sarsgaard at #1 in the Supporting Actor race, Leonie Benesch #3 in Supporting Actress, and the film winning Best Original Screenplay.

“September 5” garnered positive reviews at the fall fests and is being compared to past Best Picture winners “Argo” and “Spotlight.” It currently has a 79 on Metacritic (based on only five reviews) and finished 2nd in the annual Telluride attendees poll.

If “Gladiator II” fails to ignite a spark in November, I can see Paramount focusing most of their energy on “September 5” as their main awards horse. It just needs to be seen by a wider public, and a TIFF showing would have probably done it some good. Sadly, Toronto rejected the film, fearing controversy due to its tackling of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

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