There has been plenty of hate surrounding “Avengers: Doomsday.” A lot of people are calling it nostalgia bait, while others have compared the trailers to something that looks AI-generated.
That said, there is absolutely no way this movie is going to flop—or get trounced at the box office by “Dune: Part Three.” Quite simply, the people have spoken. The masses have assembled to take the bait, excited at the prospect of seeing the Avengers, X-Men, and Fantastic Four unite to defeat Robert Downey Jr.’s Dr. Doom.
Yes, we’re still four months away, and ‘Doomsday’—which has only had two trailers released so far—is already generating presale numbers we’ve never seen before.
According to Box Office Theory, ‘Doomsday’ has already sold 92% of “The Fantastic Four: First aSteps”’ entire preview haul. If it maintains this pace, $100M-plus in previews is genuinely on the table. Based on those numbers, you’re potentially looking at an opening weekend in the neighborhood of $400M, surpassing the biggest domestic opening weekend of all time, currently held by “Spider-Man: Brand New Day.”
‘Doomsday’ is reportedly tracking 67% ahead of ‘Brand New Day’ on just its second day of tracking, despite being 124 days out compared to ‘Brand New Day’ at 43 days.
Given that “Dune: Part Three” will be released on the same day as ‘Doomsday’—a movie date that’s already been dubbed “Dunesday”—I expect ‘Dune 3’ to benefit from audiences double-billing both films, much like “Barbie” and “Oppenheimer.” But the final numbers won’t even be close. ‘Doomsday’ is going to come out on top with a record-breaking haul.
This $400M-costing monster of a movie is supposed to be a make-or-break moment for the MCU—but who are we kidding? It’s going to make money. With a budget reportedly approaching $400M, the break-even point is likely around $1 billion, and it might get to that total within its first week of release.
there is absolutely no way this movie is going to flop—or get trounced at the box office by the more artful “Dune: Part Three.” Quite simply, the people have spoken.
McDonagh’s last film was ‘The Banshees of Inisherin,’ released in 2022, which received nine Oscar nominations. His other works include “In Bruges,” and “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri.”