I am fairly confident that my current Best Picture predictions will stand to be the same, at least up until Oscar voting ends in 6 days’ time.
As per Hollywood Elsewhere’s Jeffrey Wells:
“Today, tomorrow (Friday, 1.3), the weekend, Monday (1.6) and Tuesday (1.7). And that’s all the time there is to submit Oscar noms. Hubba hubba.“
There are currently 12 films that stand the best chance at nabbing the 7-9 nomination slots available. The rest of the films listed as “major threats” and “possibilities” should be considered dark horses.
FRONTRUNNERS:
1. The Irishman (Netflix)
2. Parasite (Neon)
3. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood (Sony)
4. Joker (Warner Bros.)
5. 1917 (Universal)
6. Marriage Story (Netflix)
7. Jojo Rabbit (Fox Searchlight)
8. Bombshell (Lionsgate)
9. Ford v. Ferrari (Fox)
10. Little Women (Sony)
11. Rocket Man
12. The Farewell (A24)
MAJOR THREATS
Avengers: Endgame (Disney)
Hustlers (STXfilms)
The Two Popes (Netflix)
Knives Out (Lionsgate)
Just Mercy (Warner Bros.)
A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood (Sony)
POSSIBILITIES:
Uncut Gems (A24)
Booksmart (Annapurna)
Judy (Roadshow)
LONG SHOTS:
Pain and Glory (Sony Classics)
The Lighthouse (A24)
Queen & Slim (Universal)
Waves (A24)
Honey Boy (Amazon)
Toy Story 4 (Disney)
The Last Black Man in San Francisco (A24)
Ad Astra (Fox)
A Hidden Life (Fox Searchlight)
Quiver, a tiny specialty distributor that makes even Vertical and Briarcliffe look behemoth, has picked up U.S. distribution of the long-delayed film from fellow micro-indie Blue Fox.