UPDATED Oscar Predix 9.23.16

I have decided to take out "Silence." All signs point to it not even coming out this year and if it did wouldn't you think Paramount would push the film a bit more for Awards season? We don`t have a trailer, no promotional events and barely a still. Do they even have fate in it?

"Lion" has been added after my TIFF screening. I am not a fan of the film, but its crowd-pleasing roots are irresistible for the mainstream.

Best Picture
(1) Billy Lynn's Long Half-Time Walk
(2) La La Land
(3) Manchester by The Sea
(4) Loving
(5) Sully
(6) Lion
(7) Arrival
(8) Patriot's Day
(9) Moonlight
(10) Hell or High Water

Best Actor
Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
Tom Hanks, Sully
Michael Keaton, The Founder
Joel Edgerton, Loving
Denzel Washington, Fences

Best Actress
Viola Davis, Fences
Ruth Negga, Loving
Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins
Natalie Portman, Jackie
Emma Stone, La La Land

Best Director
Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea
Ang Lee, Billy Lynn's Long Half-Time Walk
Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
Damian Chazelle, La La Land
Cliny Eastwood, Sully